What possible 'good news' could there ever be about
nuclear destruction coming to America, whether it is Dirty Bombs, Terrorist Nukes, or
ICBM's from afar?
In a word, they are all survivable for the vast majority
of American families, IF they know what to do beforehand and have made even
the most modest of preparations.
Tragically, though, most Americans today won't give much
credence to this good news, much less seek out such vital life-saving instruction,
as they have been jaded by our culture's pervasive myths of nuclear
Most people think that if nukes go off then everybody is
going to die, or it'll be so bad they'll wish they had. That's why you hear such absurd
comments as; "If it happens, I hope I'm at ground zero and go quickly."
This defeatist attitude was born as the disarmament
movement ridiculed any competing alternatives to their ban-the-bomb agenda, like Civil
Defense. The activists wanted all to think there was no surviving a nuke, banning them
all was your only hope. The sound Civil Defense strategies of the 50-60's have been
derided as being largely ineffective, or at worst a cruel joke. With the supposed end of
the Cold War in the 80's, most Americans saw neither a need to prepare, nor believed that
preparation would do any good. Today, with growing prospects of nuclear terrorism, and
nuclear saber rattling from rogue nations, we see emerging among the public either
paralyzing fear or irrational denial. People can't even begin to envision effective
preparations for ever surviving a nuclear attack. They think it totally futile, bordering
on lunacy, to even try.
Ironically, these disarmament activists, regardless
their noble intent, have rendered millions of Americans even more vulnerable to perishing
from nukes in the future.
The biggest surprise for most Americans, from the first
flash of a nuke being unleashed, is that they will still be here, though ill-equipped to
survive for long, if they don't know what to do beforehand from that first second
of the flash onward.
Most could easily survive the initial blasts because
they won't be close enough to any "ground zero", and that is very good news.
Unfortunately, though, few people will be prepared to next survive the later coming
radioactive fallout which could eventually kill many times more than the blast. However,
there is still more good news possible, as well over 90% of those potential
casualties from fallout can be avoided, IF the public was pre-trained
through an aggressive national Civil Defense educational program. Simple measures taken
immediately after a nuclear blast, by a pre-trained public, can prevent agonizing
death and injury from radiation exposure.
The National Planning Scenario #1, an originally
confidential internal 2004 study by the Department of Homeland Security, demonstrated the
above survival odds when they examined the effects of a terrorist nuke going off in
Washington, D.C.. They discovered that a 10 kiloton nuke, about 2/3rds the size of the
Hiroshima bomb, detonated at ground level, would result in about 15,000 immediate deaths,
and another 15,000 casualties from the blast, thermal flash and initial radiation
release. As horrific as that is, the surprising revelation here is that over 99% of the
residents in the DC area will have just witnessed and survived their first nuclear
explosion. Clearly, the good news is most people will survive the initial
However, that study also soberly determined that as many
as another 250,000 people could soon be at risk from lethal doses of radiation from the
fallout drifting downwind towards them after the blast. (Another study, released in
August 2006 by the Rand Corporation, looked at a terrorist 10 kiloton nuke arriving in a
cargo container and being exploded in the Port of Long Beach, California. Over 150,000
people were estimated to be at risk downwind from fallout, again many more than from the
initial blast itself.)
The good news, that these much larger casualty
numbers from radioactive fallout are largely avoidable, only applies to those pre-trained
beforehand by a Civil Defense program in what to do before it arrives.
Today, lacking any meaningful Civil Defense program,
millions of American families continue to be at risk and could perish needlessly for lack
of essential knowledge that used to be taught at the grade school level.
The public, and especially our children, urgently need
to be instructed in Civil Defense basics again. Like how most can save themselves by
employing the old 'Duck & Cover' tactic, rather than just impulsively rushing
to the nearest window to see what that 'big flash' was across town just-in-time to
be shredded by the glass imploding inwards from the delayed blast wave. Even in the open,
just laying flat, reduces by eight-fold the chances of being hit by debris from that
brief, three second, tornado strength blast that, like lightning & thunder, could be
delayed arriving anywhere from a fraction of a second to 20 seconds or more after
that initial flash.
They need to also know if in the path far downwind of
fallout coming, that evacuating perpendicular to that downwind drift of the fallout would
be their best strategy. They must also be taught, if they can't evacuate in time, how to
shelter-in-place while the radioactive fallout loses 90% of it's lethal intensity in the
first seven hours and 99% of it in two days. For those requiring sheltering from fallout,
the majority would only need two or three days of full-time hunkering down, not weeks on
end, before safely joining the evacuation.
This good news is easily grasped by most people,
and an effective expedient fallout shelter can be improvised at home, school or work
quickly, but only IF the public had been trained beforehand, as was begun
in the 50's & 60's with our national Civil Defense program.
Unfortunately, our government today is doing little to
promote nuclear preparedness and Civil Defense instruction among the general public.
Regrettably, most of our politicians, like the public, are still captive to the same
illusions that training and preparation of the public are ineffective and futile against
a nuclear threat.
The past administrations Department of Homeland Security
head, Michael Chertoff, demonstrated this attitude in 2005 when he responded to the
following question in USA Today;
Q: In the last four years, the most horrific
scenario - a nuclear attack - may be the least discussed. If there were to be a
nuclear attack tomorrow by terrorists on an American city, how would it be
A: In the area of a nuclear bomb, it's
prevention, prevention, prevention. If a nuclear bomb goes off, you are not going to
be able to protect against it. There's no city strong enough infrastructure-wise to
withstand such a hit. No matter how you approach it, there'd be a huge loss of
Mr. Chertoff failed to grasp that most of that "huge loss of life" could be avoided
if those in the blast zone and downwind knew what to do beforehand. He only acknowledges
that the infrastructure will be severely compromised -- too few first-responders responding.
Civil Defense pre-training of the public is clearly the only hope for those in the blast
zone and later in the fallout path. Of course, the government should try and prevent it
happening first, but the answer he should have given to that question is; "preparation,
preparation, preparation" of the public via training beforehand, for when prevention
by the government might fail.
The current Obama administration also fails to grasp that the single greatest force
multiplier to reducing potential casualties, and greatly enhancing the effectiveness of
first-responders, is a pre-trained public so that there will be far fewer casualties
to later deal with. Spending millions to train and equip first-responders is good and
necessary, but having millions fewer victims, by having also educated and trained the
public beforehand, would be many magnitudes more effective in saving lives.
The federal government needs to launch a national mass media, business supported, and school
based effort, superseding our most ambitious public awareness campaigns like for AIDs, drug
abuse, drunk driving, anti-smoking, etc. The effort should percolate down to every level of our
society. Let's be clear - we are talking about the potential to save, or lose needlessly, many
times more lives than those saved by all these other noble efforts combined!
Instead, Homeland Security continues with a focus primarily on...
#1 - Interdiction - Catching nuclear materials and terrorists beforehand
#2 - COG - Continuity of Government and casualty response afterwards for when #1
While the vital key component continues to be largely ignored...
#3 - Continuity of the Public while it's happening - via proven mass media Civil
Defense training beforehand that would make the survival difference then for the
vast majority of Americans affected by a nuclear event and on their own from that first
initial flash through that critical first couple days of the highest radiation threat with
least government response.
This deadly oversight will persist until those crippling myths of nuclear
un-survivability are banished by the good news that a trained and prepared public
can, and ultimately has to, save themselves. More training of the public beforehand
means less body bags required afterwards, it's that simple.
The tragic After Action Reports (AAR's), of an American city nuked today, would glaringly
reveal then that the overwhelming majority of victims had perished needlessly for lack of this
basic, easy to learn & employ, life-saving knowledge.
Re-launching Civil Defense training is an issue we hope & pray will come to the
forefront on the political stage, with both parties vying to outdo each other proposing
national Civil Defense public educational programs. We are not asking billions for provisioned
public fallout shelters for all, like what already awaits many of our politicians. We are just
asking for a comprehensive mass media, business, and school based re-release of the proven
practical strategies of Civil Defense instruction, a modernized version of what we used to have
here, and that had been embraced by the Chinese, Russians, Swiss, and Israeli's.
There is no greater, nor more legitimate, primary responsibility of any government than to
protect it's citizens. And, no greater condemnation awaits that government that fails to,
risking millions then perishing needlessly. We all need to demand renewed public Civil Defense
training and the media needs to spotlight it questioning officials and politicians, until the
government corrects this easily avoidable, but fatal vulnerability.
In the meantime, though, don't wait around for the government to instruct and prepare your
own family and community. Educate yourself today and begin establishing your own family nuclear
survival preparations by reading the free nuke prep primer...
What To Do If A Nuclear Disaster Is Imminent! at
Then, pass copies of it, along with this article, to friends, neighbors, relatives, fellow
workers, churches and community organizations with a brief note attached saying simply: "We
hope/pray we never need this, but just-in-case, keep it handy!" Few nowadays will find that
approach alarmist and you'll be pleasantly surprised at how many are truly grateful.
Everyone should also forward copies of both to their local, state and federal elected
representatives, as well as your own communities first-responders and local media, all to help
spread this good news that's liberating American families from their paralyzing and
potentially fatal myths of nuclear un-survivability!
See the Only County In U.S. that's re-established their Civil
Defense Fallout Shelters! ...and... How To Do It In Your Own Community, too!
*** See what was ranked #1 at DHS & FEMA recent National Dialogue on
Preparedness here! ***
Shane Connor is the CEO of www.ki4u.com.
Consultants and developers of Civil Defense solutions to Government, NPO's and Individual
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